Theory of Computing ------------------- Title : New Lower Bounds for Probabilistic Degree and AC$0$ with Parity Gates Authors : Emanuele Viola Volume : 22 Number : 7 Pages : 1-31 URL : https://theoryofcomputing.org/articles/v022a007 Abstract -------- We make the first progress on probabilistic-degree lower bounds and correlation bounds for polynomials since the papers by Razborov and Smolensky in the 80's. The bounds hold for computing some function $f:\zo^{n}\to\zo$ in $E^NP$, and include: (1) $\Omega(n/\log^{2}n)$ lower bounds probabilistic degree. This is optimal up to a factor $O(\log^{2}n)$. The previous best lower bound was $\Omega(\sqrt{n})$ proved in the 80's by Razborov and Smolensky. (2) $\exp(\Omega(n/\log^{2}n)^{1/(h-1)})$ lower bounds on the size of depth-$h$ $AC^0[\oplus]$ circuits, for any $h$. This almost matches the $\exp(\Omega(n^{1/(h-1)}))$ lower bounds for $AC^0$ by Hastad. The previous best lower bound was $\exp(\Omega(n^{1/(h+1)}))$ by Rajgopal, Santhanam, and Srinivasan (MFCS'18) who recently improved Razborov and Smolensky's $\exp(\Omega(n^{1/(2h-2)}))$ bound. (3) $(1/2-(\log^{O(h)}s)/n)$ average-case hardness for size-$s$ depth-$h$ $\AC^{0}[\oplus]$ circuits under the uniform distribution. The previous best was $(1/2-(\log^{O(h)}s)/\sqrt{n})$. A concurrent paper by Chen and Ren (STOC'20) obtains an incomparable result. The previous best lower bounds in (1) and (3), mentioned above, held for the Majority function. Each of the new lower bounds in this paper is false for Majority. For (2) the previous best held for $E^NP$. The proofs build on Williams's "guess-and-SAT" method. For (1) we show how to use a PCP by Ben-Sasson and Viola (ICALP'14) towards probabilistic-degree lower bounds. For (3) we combine a recent method by Alman and Chen (STOC'19, SICOMP 2025) with hardness amplification. -------------- A preliminary version of this paper appeared in ECCC as TR20-015 (2021).